In its one year in tenure, the Modi government has charted a new
course for Union-State relationship. However, that is only the beginning. The part
where it is all implemented comes now. The process of progressing towards co-operative federalism envisaged by
Prime Minister Narendra Modi is gathering pace due to several recent
commendable policy initiatives. To realize full potential of this process
requires much greater competence and professionalism in Public Financial
Management (PFM) by the individual states and by the urban and local bodies
(ULBs).The individual states will need to manage a rather complex set of three
PFM objectives, involving difficult trade-offs, sequencing decisions, and
staffing and organizational restructuring initiatives. The first is to improve
the quality and sustainability of fiscal deficits, contingent liabilities, and
overall fiscal risks. The second is to increase public investment level ( budgetary
capital expenditure in many states is only between 1 and2 percent of GSDP, with
some states, such as Gujarat, exhibiting a ratio between 3 and 4 percent) while
enhancing private investment. The third is to focus on outcomes of government
expenditure rather than merely on financial outlays.
This requires spending less for government purchases of goods,
services, and assets (requires more effective procurement processes); spending
well by improving relationship between outputs on the one hand (such as time in
which a given quality school or a road is built) and government expenditure on
the other; and spending wisely by focusing on improving citizens’ welfare and
laying foundations for future economic growth. The individual states,
particularly those with large populations, will also need to find context
specific ways to devolve fiscal resources to lower levels of government, including
to the ULBs. Revitalizing the institution of the State Finance Commission (SFC)
should be an integral part of such development especially for the states with
large populations.
Four commendable set of interrelated policy initiatives by the Union
government have fundamentally altered the dynamics of Union–State fiscal
relations: Acceptance of the recommendations of the 14th Finance Commission
(FC):The 14th FC was set up by the previous government, but the Prime Minister
Narendra Modi led government has refreshingly continued to accept ideas and
recommendations which are consistent with improving governance and with creating
a problem-solving, positive environment in the country. Among the several
important recommendations of the 14th FC accepted by the government, the most
relevant is the statutory increase in the share of divisible tax-pool from 32
percent to 42 percent. As the Union government has also raised the
non-statutory share from 21 percent to 26 percent, about 68 percent of the
divisible pool is to be transferred to the states. These imply that about half
of the total receipts (including non-tax) of the Union government will be
transferred to the states. The larger transfers to the states are accompanied
by the significant reduction in the so-called central schemes of the Union
government, and rationalization of remaining schemes to give greater flexibility
and control to the individual states. The above also suggests that the Union
government is moving away from a scheme-and-grant based support to a devolution
based support. The intention of the 14th FC appears to be to de-link planning,
plan and non-plan expenditure classification from the budgeting exercise; and
foster cultivation of development outcomes orientation in the budgeting process
rather than adhering mechanically to pre-defined plans. Indeed, the state of
Jammu and Kashmir has already abolished the plan-non-plan expenditure
classification from the 2015-16 budget. The acceptance of the 14th FC’s
recommendations lends greater urgency to enhance the professionalism with which
PFM is undertaken by the Union government (as its share of gross revenue
declines), individual states, and by the ULBs. How to progress in this
direction deserves to be carefully considered in a context specific manner,
particularly as there is limited expertise in the country in this area, and
requires a mind-set change on the part of the all stakeholders, particularly
political leadership and the civil service.
NITI: The second policy initiative is the establishment the
National Institution for Transforming India (NITI) Aayog (‘Aayog’ should be
dropped as it is redundant) on January 1, 2015 as a replacement for the
un lamented former Planning Commission. This has the potential to better
facilitate Union-State policy coordination and coherence. Inclusion of the
Chief Ministers of the states, and their regular interactions with the Union
government would help in policy and scheme formulation and design. Using NITI
Aayog as a key institution to reorient PFM in the country merits serious
consideration. States could consider consultations with it on specific PFM
issues, such as procurement process, improving tax administration and
compliance, and delivery of key public amenities and services. NITI Aayog could
play a role in the process of finding an appropriate balance between
co-operative federalism and constructive competition among the states. It could
also help India better utilize limited expertise base on PFM in India, and on
re-orienting Union-State financial relations.
GST: The third policy initiative is the urgency demonstrated by
the current government in implementing GST (Goods and Services Tax). It has far
reaching implications as it will enable both the Union and the states to levy a
sales tax on goods and on services, thus ending artificial restriction imposed
by the Constitution. It will thus help unify the whole country as a market, and
lead to uniformity in taxes on goods and services. The GST will be a dual tax
(levied by the Union government and individual States) in a federal structure.
It is thus among the most ambitions tax reforms attempted in India, requiring
much greater professionalism in sales tax administration. The aim should not be
to get the ‘best’ GST but a reasonable workable GST, which can be improved
overtime.
Resources from non-conventional sources: The fourth initiative is
that in sharp contrast to the previous governments, Prime Minister Narendra
Modi’s government has demonstrated high degree of competence in generating
resources from non-conventional sources, such as use of auctions, and
increasing state assets more productivity. Thus, the auctioning of coal blocks
from 32 mines is expected to generate Rs 2 lakh crore. Most of which will be turned over to the
concerned states, substantially improving their fiscal base. The government
revenue generated was Rs 1.1 lakhcrore. Thus, a total of Rs 3.1 lakh crore has
been generated, equivalent to 2.5 percent of GDP. States also need to begin
acquiring proficiency in such revenue generation if they are to cope with the
added responsibilities. As a part of
this process, establishing Fiscal Risk Management Group (FRMG) in each state and
large cities merits serious consideration. The case for urgently initiating the
process of enhancing competency in PFM at all levels of government is
compelling, and therefore those putting impediments to this process would be conspiring
against the public interest.
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